Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Dinamo Zagreb18:45
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Bayer LeverkusenMost likelyBayer Leverkusen win · 66%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Bayer Leverkusen win
Oddbert gives Bayer Leverkusen a 66% chance of winning.
11%Dinamo Zagreb
23%Draw
66%Bayer Leverkusen
In 100 matches like this, Bayer Leverkusen would win about 66. In the other 34 or so, Bayer Leverkusen doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Dinamo Zagreb win 11, Draw 23, Bayer Leverkusen win 66.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
11%1Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb win
23%XDrawDraw
66%2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Dinamo Zagreb meet Bayer Leverkusen. The model leans toward Bayer Leverkusen, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Bayer Leverkusen (66%), doesn't happen in about 34 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Dinamo Zagreb
- W2-0SUN
- L2-4NN
- W1-0AND
- D0-0HBS
- L1-3VIK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bayer Leverkusen
- W2-11FK
- L0-1MAR
- L2-4VS
- L0-31H
- W2-0OFI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Dinamo Zagreb
Absence data is not available for this match.
Bayer Leverkusen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Dinamo Zagreb
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.92last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 3
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.1last 10
- Shots
- 17.3last 9
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 13.6last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- D. Beljo6G 1A7 apps
- M. Valinčić1G 1A7 apps
- L. Stojković1G 1A6 apps
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.17last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.54last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.4last 10
- Shots
- 17.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- P. Schick7G 1A10 apps
- I. Maza3G 2A9 apps
- Aleix García1G 3A10 apps
Line movement
Dinamo Zagreb—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bayer Leverkusen—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Bayer Leverkusen, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.46Expected goals (home)0.33Defensive xG form (home)2.94What's at stake (home)0.00League id3.00Away form (away)7.73
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.