Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë18:45
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Lincoln Red Imps FCMost likelyEgnatia Rrogozhinë win · 56%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
Oddbert gives Egnatia Rrogozhinë a 56% chance of winning.
56%Egnatia Rrogozhinë
21%Draw
23%Lincoln Red Imps FC
In 100 matches like this, Egnatia Rrogozhinë would win about 56. In the other 44 or so, Egnatia Rrogozhinë doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Egnatia Rrogozhinë win 56, Draw 21, Lincoln Red Imps FC win 23.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
56%1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë win
21%XDrawDraw
23%2Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (56%), doesn't happen in about 44 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- L0-2UC
- D1-1AAR
- D1-1FM
- L1-2LIL
- D0-0LIL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lincoln Red Imps FC
- W1-0HHS
- L1-4TWE
- L1-2BRA
- W3-0LAR
- L0-2LAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Absence data is not available for this match.
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.51last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.41last 3
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 8
- Shots
- 9.8last 6
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 8
- Fouls
- 10.2last 5
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Key players
Player data from 3 of 10 matches
- Ildi Gruda2G 0A2 apps
- Altin Kryeziu0G 1A3 apps
- Daniel Adjessa0G 1A3 apps
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.16last 3
- xG against / game
- 2.64last 3
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 9
- Shots
- 6.3last 6
- Shots on target
- 2.9last 9
- Fouls
- 14.5last 6
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 9
Key players
Player data from 5 of 10 matches
- Kike Gómez1G 0A4 apps
- Nano1G 0A3 apps
- Christian Rutjens1G 0A5 apps
Line movement
Egnatia Rrogozhinë—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lincoln Red Imps FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Egnatia Rrogozhinë result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (home) and What's at stake (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.65What's at stake (away)0.00Expected goals (home)1.07What's at stake (home)0.00Pi-rating edge0.49League id848
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.