Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln prediction
BundesligaRound 6
Eintracht Frankfurt20:30
Fri 16 Oct
Prediction T-24h
1. FC KölnMost likelyEintracht Frankfurt win · 47%
Best price2.00 Onexbet
Prediction
46%1Eintracht Frankfurtmarket 49%
26%XDrawmarket 23%
28%21. FC Kölnmarket 28%
Eintracht Frankfurt-3.0 ppDraw+2.7 pp1. FC Köln+0.3 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Eintracht Frankfurtpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 7% more than the typical book | 1. FC Kölnpays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| Betvictor | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 4.10 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.44 |
| Onexbet | 2.00best | 4.30best | 3.52best |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 4.20 | 3.47 |
| Sbo | 1.94 | 3.61 | 2.98 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Eintracht Frankfurt at 2.00 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Eintracht Frankfurt
- L0-6RL
- D2-2SF
- W3-1FM0
- L1-4FA
- D3-3UB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
1. FC Köln
- W2-1BM
- L1-2HS
- D1-1WB
- L1-4VS
- W3-21H
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Eintracht Frankfurt
No reported absences.
1. FC Köln
No reported absences.
Head to head
Eintracht Frankfurt 1Draws 11. FC Köln 0
- EF 2-2 1FK
- 1FK 3-4 EF
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.02last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.3last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
1. FC Köln
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.78last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 7
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 10 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.3last 10
- Fouls
- 8.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Line movement
Eintracht Frankfurt—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
1. FC Köln—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Eintracht Frankfurt result here, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge0.88Pi-rating edge0.29Defensive xG form (home)2.46Attacking xG form (away)4.99Recent form (home)3.11Defensive xG form (away)4.29
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.