Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen prediction
BundesligaRound 12
Eintracht Frankfurt15:30
Sat 5 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Werder BremenMost likelyEintracht Frankfurt win · 41%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Eintracht Frankfurt win
Oddbert gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 41% chance of winning.
41%Eintracht Frankfurt
26%Draw
33%Werder Bremen
In 100 matches like this, Eintracht Frankfurt would win about 41. In the other 59 or so, Eintracht Frankfurt doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Eintracht Frankfurt win 41, Draw 26, Werder Bremen win 33.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
41%1Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt win
26%XDrawDraw
33%2Werder BremenWerder Bremen win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Eintracht Frankfurt meet Werder Bremen. The model leans only slightly toward Eintracht Frankfurt in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Defensive xG form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Eintracht Frankfurt (41%), doesn't happen in about 59 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Eintracht Frankfurt
- D2-2SP0
- W3-1HS
- L0-1BD
- W1-01FK
- L0-6RL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Werder Bremen
- L0-1VS
- W2-01H
- W3-2FM0
- D2-2SP0
- D2-2BD
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Eintracht Frankfurt
Absence data is not available for this match.
Werder Bremen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Eintracht Frankfurt 2Draws 1Werder Bremen 1
- WB 3-3 EF
- EF 4-1 WB
- WB 2-0 EF
- EF 1-0 WB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.75last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- J. Burkardt6G 1A10 apps
- Y. Ebnoutalib6G 1A9 apps
- C. Uzun2G 1A9 apps
Werder Bremen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.51last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.64last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 15.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Key players
- N. Füllkrug9G 0A9 apps
- M. Grüll2G 6A10 apps
- E. Dinkçi2G 1A9 apps
Line movement
Eintracht Frankfurt—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Werder Bremen—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Eintracht Frankfurt in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Defensive xG form (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.45Defensive xG form (home)1.99League id78.0Expected goals (home)1.94What's at stake (home)0.02Attacking xG form (away)1.85
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.