Elche vs Valencia prediction
La LigaRound 11Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Elche18:30
Sun 1 Nov
Prediction T-24h
ValenciaMost likelyElche win · 49%
Prediction
49%1Elche
27%XDraw
24%2Valencia
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Elche | Valencia |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Elche
- D0-0CV
- W3-1ESP
- L2-3RM
- D1-1AC
- L2-3RS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Valencia
- D2-2RS
- L2-3RS
- W1-0ALA
- L0-1SEV
- L0-5BAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Elche
No reported absences.
Valencia
No reported absences.
Head to head
Elche 1Draws 1Valencia 0
- ELC 1-0 VAL
- VAL 1-1 ELC
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Elche
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.03last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.51last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.2last 10
- Shots
- 10.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 15.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Valencia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.09last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.55last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 11.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.3last 10
- Fouls
- 10.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Dani Raba1G 0A1 apps
- David Otorbi1G 0A1 apps
- Justin De Haas0G 1A1 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Line movement
Elche—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Valencia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Elche result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Home advantage (team-tuned). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.01Home advantage (team-tuned)127What's at stake (away)0.00League id140Home form (home)3.91Attacking xG form (away)0.93
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.