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18+18+ only

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.

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Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction

La LigaLa Liga·Round 12
EspanyolEspanyol
17:00
Sun 8 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna

Most likelyEspanyol win · 45%

PredictionOddsContextMovementDetails

Prediction

45%1Espanyol
28%XDraw
27%2Deportivo La Coruna

These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes

Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026

Odds comparison

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet

We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).

Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.

Stake sizer

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.

Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.

Match context

Strength-adjusted form

Espanyol

  1. D↓1-1MAL
  2. L↓1-3ELC
  3. L↑1-2RV
  4. W=2-0OSA
  5. D=1-1SEV

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Deportivo La Coruna

  1. L↑2-3RS
  2. D↑1-1RB
  3. L↑0-1SEV
  4. D↑1-1GET
  5. W↑3-2VIL

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Injuries & absences

Espanyol

No reported absences.

Deportivo La Coruna

No reported absences.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Recent form

Recent form — context only, not a tip.

Espanyol

Goals

Scored / game
1.4last 10
Conceded / game
1.3last 10
xG for / game
1.29last 10
xG against / game
1.34last 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
BTTS
8 / 10
Over 2.5
6 / 10

Match stats

Corners
2.2last 10
Shots
12.8last 10
Shots on target
4.2last 10
Fouls
15.9last 10
Yellow cards
2.8last 10

Deportivo La Coruna

Goals

Scored / game
1.5last 8
Conceded / game
1.4last 8
xG for / game
1.10last 8
xG against / game
1.20last 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
BTTS
7 / 8
Over 2.5
3 / 8

Match stats

Corners
5.5last 8
Shots
11.5last 8
Shots on target
4.2last 8
Fouls
12.5last 8
Yellow cards
1.6last 8

Line movement

Espanyol—

No line movement recorded yet

Draw—

No line movement recorded yet

Deportivo La Coruna—

No line movement recorded yet

Under the hood

How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.

Why this prediction

ExplanationAI · grounded

The model leans toward a Espanyol result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.

The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.

How we make these predictions
Top model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.1520%Defensive xG form (away)1.0019%Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)13117%League id14013%Recent form (home)2.7111%Attacking xG form (home)1.278%

The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.