Espanyol vs Getafe prediction
La LigaRound 14
Espanyol17:00
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
GetafeMost likelyEspanyol win · 39%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Espanyol win
Oddbert gives Espanyol a 39% chance of winning.
39%Espanyol
28%Draw
33%Getafe
In 100 matches like this, Espanyol would win about 39. In the other 61 or so, Espanyol doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Espanyol win 39, Draw 28, Getafe win 33.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
39%1EspanyolEspanyol win
28%XDrawDraw
33%2GetafeGetafe win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Espanyol meet Getafe. The model leans only slightly toward Espanyol in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Recent form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Espanyol (39%), doesn't happen in about 61 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Espanyol
- D0-0DLC
- W1-0VIL
- L1-2RS
- L0-1AM
- D1-1MAL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Getafe
- L0-2VIL
- L0-1BRI
- W3-1SEV
- L0-4AC
- L2-5FL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Espanyol
Absence data is not available for this match.
Getafe
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Espanyol 2Draws 0Getafe 2
- ESP 1-2 GET
- GET 0-1 ESP
- ESP 1-0 GET
- GET 1-0 ESP
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Espanyol
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.92last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.26last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.7last 10
- Shots
- 11.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 10
- Fouls
- 15.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 3.0last 10
Key players
- Roberto Fernández4G 0A10 apps
- Javier Hernandez0G 4A10 apps
- Marcos Fernández1G 1A9 apps
Getafe
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.85last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.5last 10
- Fouls
- 13.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
- M. Satriano2G 2A10 apps
- Iván Azón2G 0A8 apps
- E. Ünal1G 1A8 apps
Line movement
Espanyol—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Getafe—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Espanyol in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Recent form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.65Recent form (away)1.87Expected goals (home)1.01Pi-rating edge0.15Expected goals (away)0.62League id140
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.