Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction
Ligue 1Round 9Stade de l'Aube
Estac Troyes20:45
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Le MansMost likelyLe Mans win · 38%
Prediction
33%1Estac Troyes
29%XDraw
38%2Le Mans
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Estac Troyes | Le Mans |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Estac Troyes
- L0-2MAR
- L0-2ANG
- L0-2LIL
- L2-6STR
- W2-1LOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Le Mans
- L1-3PSG
- W2-1LOR
- D2-2LEN
- D1-1NIC
- L2-3REN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Estac Troyes
No reported absences.
Le Mans
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Estac Troyes
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 6
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 6
- xG for / game
- 1.03last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.63last 5
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 6
- BTTS
- 2 / 6
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 6
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.3last 6
- Shots
- 14.8last 6
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 6
- Fouls
- 12.3last 6
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 5
Le Mans
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 6
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 6
- xG for / game
- 1.67last 6
- xG against / game
- 2.31last 6
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- BTTS
- 6 / 6
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 6
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 6
- Shots
- 10.5last 6
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 6
- Fouls
- 14.8last 6
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 6
Venue
- Venue
- Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Line movement
Estac Troyes—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Le Mans—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Le Mans result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)6.79Pi-rating edge-0.14Attacking xG form (home)2.99Home form (home)0.62Defensive xG form (away)2.23League id61.0
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.