Everton vs Fulham prediction
Premier LeagueRound 14
Everton16:00
Sat 5 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FulhamMost likelyEverton win · 41%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Everton win
Oddbert gives Everton a 41% chance of winning.
41%Everton
27%Draw
32%Fulham
In 100 matches like this, Everton would win about 41. In the other 59 or so, Everton doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Everton win 41, Draw 27, Fulham win 32.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
41%1EvertonEverton win
27%XDrawDraw
32%2FulhamFulham win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Everton meet Fulham. The model leans only slightly toward Everton in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and Defensive xG form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Everton (41%), doesn't happen in about 59 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Everton
- W3-1COV
- W1-0NEW
- L0-2ARS
- L0-2CHE
- D2-2HC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Fulham
- D1-1NEW
- D1-1AV
- W1-0COV
- W1-0HC
- L1-2IPS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Everton
Absence data is not available for this match.
Fulham
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Everton 3Draws 1Fulham 0
- FUL 1-2 EVE
- EVE 2-0 FUL
- FUL 1-3 EVE
- EVE 1-1 FUL
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Everton
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.46last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.6last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 8.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- T. Barry6G 1A10 apps
- K. Dewsbury-Hall3G 1A10 apps
- J. Tarkowski1G 1A10 apps
Fulham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.46last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.38last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Key players
- Joshua King2G 1A10 apps
- A. Iwobi1G 0A10 apps
- Oscar Bobb1G 0A10 apps
Line movement
Everton—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Fulham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Everton in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and Defensive xG form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (away)0.09Defensive xG form (away)0.94Defensive xG form (home)1.55Expected goals (away)0.86League id39.0Pi-rating edge0.16
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.