Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction
EredivisieRound 12Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior21:00
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
GO Ahead EaglesMost likelyGO Ahead Eagles win · 39%
Prediction
33%1Excelsior
28%XDraw
39%2GO Ahead Eagles
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Excelsior
- L1-5GRO
- D2-2AJA
- L1-2UTR
- D2-2NN
- W3-0WI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
GO Ahead Eagles
- D3-3SR
- D1-1NN
- D1-1GRO
- D3-3UTR
- L2-5AA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Excelsior
No reported absences.
GO Ahead Eagles
No reported absences.
Head to head
Excelsior 0Draws 0GO Ahead Eagles 2
- EXC 0-1 GAE
- GAE 2-0 EXC
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Excelsior
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.32last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.51last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 9
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.60last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.97last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 10 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 10
- Fouls
- 7.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 7
Venue
- Venue
- Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Line movement
Excelsior—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
GO Ahead Eagles—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a GO Ahead Eagles result here, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and What's at stake (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge-1.01What's at stake (home)0.02Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-14.6League id88.0Defensive xG form (away)1.61Pi-rating edge-0.01
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.