Famalicao vs Academico Viseu prediction
Primeira LigaRound 13
Famalicao17:00
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Academico ViseuMost likelyFamalicao win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Famalicao win
Oddbert gives Famalicao a 49% chance of winning.
49%Famalicao
24%Draw
27%Academico Viseu
In 100 matches like this, Famalicao would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Famalicao doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Famalicao win 49, Draw 24, Academico Viseu win 27.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
49%1FamalicaoFamalicao win
24%XDrawDraw
27%2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Famalicao (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Famalicao
- W1-0ARO
- L0-3SB
- W4-0RA
- L1-4ALV
- W4-0NAC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Academico Viseu
- L0-1NAC
- W2-1RA
- W2-1SC
- W2-1EST
- W2-0EST
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Famalicao
Absence data is not available for this match.
Academico Viseu
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Famalicao
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.86last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 10
- Shots
- 10.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.4last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- G. Koutsias4G 0A10 apps
- Sorriso2G 2A10 apps
- Óscar Aranda2G 1A9 apps
Academico Viseu
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.12last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.44last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.0last 10
- Shots
- 10.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 3.1last 9
Key players
- André Clóvis4G 1A10 apps
- S. Messeguem3G 1A10 apps
- C. Kahraman1G 3A10 apps
Line movement
Famalicao—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Academico Viseu—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Famalicao result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (home) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.89Expected goals (home)1.11What's at stake (away)0.03Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)155Pi-rating edge0.20Goal drought (away)1.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.