Faroe Islands vs Moldova prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League C - 6
Faroe Islands16:00
Mon 16 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
MoldovaMost likelyFaroe Islands win · 60%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Faroe Islands win
Oddbert gives Faroe Islands a 60% chance of winning.
60%Faroe Islands
21%Draw
19%Moldova
In 100 matches like this, Faroe Islands would win about 60. In the other 40 or so, Faroe Islands doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Faroe Islands win 60, Draw 21, Moldova win 19.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
60%1Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands win
21%XDrawDraw
19%2MoldovaMoldova win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Faroe Islands meet Moldova. The model leans toward Faroe Islands, shaped mainly by International Elo (away) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Faroe Islands (60%), doesn't happen in about 40 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Faroe Islands
- D2-2KAZ
- D1-1SLO
- D1-1MOL
- D1-1KAZ
- W2-1SM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Moldova
- L0-4SLO
- W2-1KAZ
- D1-1FI
- L0-2SLO
- D1-1ARM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Faroe Islands
Absence data is not available for this match.
Moldova
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Faroe Islands 1Draws 2Moldova 0
- MOL 1-1 FI
- FI 2-1 MOL
- MOL 1-1 FI
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Faroe Islands
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- Hanus Sørensen3G 0A8 apps
- Á. Frederiksberg1G 2A4 apps
- Géza Dávid Turi2G 0A8 apps
Moldova
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- Sergiu Perciun1G 1A5 apps
- Ion Nicolaescu1G 0A2 apps
- Nicky Cleșcenco1G 0A4 apps
Line movement
Faroe Islands—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Moldova—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Faroe Islands, shaped mainly by International Elo (away) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (away)1231Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.