FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction
BundesligaRound 8
FC Augsburg15:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
SC FreiburgMost likelyFC Augsburg win · 36%
Prediction
36%1FC Augsburg
29%XDraw
35%2SC Freiburg
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | FC Augsburg | SC Freiburg |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Augsburg
- D2-2BM
- L2-3WB
- D2-2BL
- W4-1EF
- W3-0FS0
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
SC Freiburg
- W2-1FS0
- D2-2EF
- W5-0BM
- W1-0SP0
- W4-1WB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Augsburg
No reported absences.
SC Freiburg
No reported absences.
Head to head
FC Augsburg 1Draws 2SC Freiburg 1
- FA 2-2 SF
- SF 1-3 FA
- FA 0-0 SF
- SF 3-1 FA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Augsburg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.86last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.59last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 8.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
SC Freiburg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.55last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.30last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Line movement
FC Augsburg—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
SC Freiburg—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a FC Augsburg result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Recent form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (home)2.97Recent form (away)7.81Attacking xG form (home)1.91Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)17.2Attacking xG form (away)2.07What's at stake (away)0.16
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.