FC Copenhagen vs FC Midtjylland prediction
SuperligaRound 16
FC Copenhagen16:00
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FC MidtjyllandMost likelyFC Copenhagen win · 47%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FC Copenhagen win
Oddbert gives FC Copenhagen a 47% chance of winning.
47%FC Copenhagen
23%Draw
30%FC Midtjylland
In 100 matches like this, FC Copenhagen would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, FC Copenhagen doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: FC Copenhagen win 47, Draw 23, FC Midtjylland win 30.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
47%1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen win
23%XDrawDraw
30%2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
FC Copenhagen meet FC Midtjylland. The model leans toward FC Copenhagen, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and Defensive xG form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FC Copenhagen (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Copenhagen
- W1-0BRO
- W2-1FI1
- W2-0SON
- D1-1ODE
- D2-2FCZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Midtjylland
- D2-2SON
- L1-6AJA
- W3-2FN
- W3-2LYN
- L0-1ST
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Copenhagen
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Midtjylland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
FC Copenhagen 1Draws 2FC Midtjylland 4
- FM 2-1 FC
- FM 2-1 FC
- FC 1-1 FM
- FC 1-1 FM
- FM 4-2 FC
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Copenhagen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.54last 9
- xG against / game
- 0.59last 9
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 14.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- M. Elyounoussi3G 0A10 apps
- A. Cornelius3G 0A7 apps
- B. Meling1G 2A8 apps
FC Midtjylland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.79last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.68last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 11.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Key players
- Friday Etim4G 1A10 apps
- Gue-sung Cho3G 1A9 apps
- Philip Billing2G 2A9 apps
Line movement
FC Copenhagen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Midtjylland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward FC Copenhagen, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and Defensive xG form (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.42Defensive xG form (home)0.29Away form (away)9.23What's at stake (away)0.42Pi-rating edge0.23Expected goals (away)1.38
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.