FC Iberia 1999 vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 5
FC Iberia 199918:45
Thu 10 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FK Crvena ZvezdaMost likelyFK Crvena Zvezda win · 47%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FK Crvena Zvezda win
Oddbert gives FK Crvena Zvezda a 47% chance of winning.
34%FC Iberia 1999
19%Draw
47%FK Crvena Zvezda
In 100 matches like this, FK Crvena Zvezda would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, FK Crvena Zvezda doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: FC Iberia 1999 win 34, Draw 19, FK Crvena Zvezda win 47.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
34%1FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 1999 win
19%XDrawDraw
47%2FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FK Crvena Zvezda (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Iberia 1999
- L1-2FC
- D1-1MA
- L0-2ST
- L1-2JAG
- L0-4JAG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FK Crvena Zvezda
- W2-1ICD
- D2-2FC
- L2-3FL
- L1-5PLZ
- W3-0PLZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Iberia 1999
Absence data is not available for this match.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Iberia 1999
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.44last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.76last 3
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 9
- Shots
- 9.3last 7
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 9
- Fouls
- 13.3last 6
- Yellow cards
- 3.1last 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- Nika Sikharulashvili3G 0A6 apps
- Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava1G 0A6 apps
- Amiran Dzagania1G 0A5 apps
FK Crvena Zvezda
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.31last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.08last 4
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 17.8last 8
- Shots on target
- 6.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
Player data from 4 of 10 matches
- Timi Max Elšnik2G 0A4 apps
- Rade Krunić1G 1A4 apps
- Vladimir Lučić1G 1A3 apps
Line movement
FC Iberia 1999—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FK Crvena Zvezda—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a FK Crvena Zvezda result here; the model's main factors are Home advantage (team-tuned) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Home advantage (team-tuned)42.2Expected goals (away)1.34What's at stake (away)0.00League id848Fixture congestion (away)0.00Defensive xG form (home)2.57
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.