FC Koln W vs RB Leipzig W prediction
Frauen BundesligaWomenRound 9Südstadion
FC Koln W3–1
FinalFinal
RB Leipzig WOddbert's view
This call was made before kick-off.
Most likely: FC Koln W win
Oddbert gives FC Koln W a 52% chance of winning.
52%FC Koln W
24%Draw
24%RB Leipzig W
In 100 matches like this, FC Koln W would win about 52. In the other 48 or so, FC Koln W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: FC Koln W win 52, Draw 24, RB Leipzig W win 24.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
52%1FC Koln WFC Koln W winmarket 53%
24%XDrawDrawmarket 24%
24%2RB Leipzig WRB Leipzig W winmarket 23%
Our model vs market
FC Koln W -1.3 ppDraw +0.2 ppRB Leipzig W +1.2 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 10 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 09 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | FC Koln W | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | RB Leipzig Wpays 7% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70best | 4.00best |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.75best | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.64 | 3.75 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Verdict
Oddbert gave FC Koln W 52% — the match ended 3–1.
The most likely result happened.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Koln W
- L0-3VWW
- W3-1HSW
- L0-1SFW
- L2-5BMW
- W3-0UBW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
RB Leipzig W
- L1-5BMW
- W3-0SFW
- W5-0M0W
- L2-3UBW
- W2-1NW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Koln W
Absence data is not available for this match.
RB Leipzig W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
FC Koln W 2Draws 0RB Leipzig W 4
- RLW 0-1 FKW
- FKW 0-2 RLW
- FKW 1-3 RLW
- RLW 2-1 FKW
- RLW 2-1 FKW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Koln W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.95last 2
- xG against / game
- 1.25last 2
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.6last 8
- Shots
- 13.9last 8
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 8
- Fouls
- 12.8last 8
- Yellow cards
- 2.8last 8
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- P. Bremer4G 2A6 apps
- Sophie Nachtigall1G 1A4 apps
- V. Leimenstoll1G 1A6 apps
RB Leipzig W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.74last 2
- xG against / game
- 1.20last 2
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 8
- Shots
- 15.1last 8
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 8
- Fouls
- 12.1last 8
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 8
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- Emilia Ásgeirsdottir2G 2A8 apps
- A. Tuin3G 0A8 apps
- D. Boboy3G 0A8 apps
Referee profile
- Referee
- Nadine Westerhoff
- Yellows / game
- 3.0
- Matches officiated
- 1
Weather
- Temperature
- 9°C
- Conditions
- Clouds
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Weather data from OpenWeather, used under the Open Database License (ODbL).
Venue
- Venue
- Südstadion, Cologne
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 5,457
Line movement
FC Koln W53%
Fri 6 Nov – Mon 9 Nov+4.5 pp
Draw24%
Fri 6 Nov – Mon 9 Nov-0.4 pp
RB Leipzig W23%
Fri 6 Nov – Mon 9 Nov-4.0 pp
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a FC Koln W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.59Expected goals (away)1.28Goal correlation-0.02
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.
Verdict
PredictedFC Koln W
ActualFC Koln W
RPS0.1440lower is better
CLV—
Words explained: