FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby prediction
SuperligaRound 12MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland14:00
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
LyngbyMost likelyFC Midtjylland win · 69%
Prediction
69%1FC Midtjylland
21%XDraw
10%2Lyngby
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | FC Midtjylland | Lyngby |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Midtjylland
- W2-1FC
- D1-1ODE
- W4-1BRO
- D2-2FN
- W2-0AAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lyngby
- L2-5BRO
- L0-4SIL
- D1-1SON
- W2-0VIB
- D1-1ODE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Midtjylland
No reported absences.
Lyngby
No reported absences.
Head to head
FC Midtjylland 2Draws 1Lyngby 0
- LYN 1-1 FM
- FM 1-0 LYN
- LYN 1-2 FM
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Midtjylland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.54last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.14last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.4last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Lyngby
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.67last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.49last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 14.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 15.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Venue
- Venue
- MCH Arena, Herning
Line movement
FC Midtjylland—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lyngby—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a FC Midtjylland result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)448Pi-rating edge1.19Defensive xG form (home)2.58What's at stake (home)0.23Attacking xG form (home)1.83Rest-days edge-0.08
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.