FC Nordsjaelland vs Lyngby prediction
SuperligaRound 17Right to Dream Park
FC Nordsjaelland14:00
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
LyngbyMost likelyFC Nordsjaelland win · 65%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FC Nordsjaelland win
Oddbert gives FC Nordsjaelland a 65% chance of winning.
65%FC Nordsjaelland
24%Draw
11%Lyngby
In 100 matches like this, FC Nordsjaelland would win about 65. In the other 35 or so, FC Nordsjaelland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: FC Nordsjaelland win 65, Draw 24, Lyngby win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
65%1FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland win
24%XDrawDraw
11%2LyngbyLyngby win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
FC Nordsjaelland meet Lyngby. The model leans toward FC Nordsjaelland, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FC Nordsjaelland (65%), doesn't happen in about 35 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Nordsjaelland
- W6-1RF
- L0-2MON
- L2-3FM
- D1-1SIL
- D2-2CS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lyngby
- L0-1SIL
- W2-1RF
- L2-3FM
- D3-3FN
- L2-5BRO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Nordsjaelland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Lyngby
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
FC Nordsjaelland 0Draws 2Lyngby 1
- LYN 3-3 FN
- LYN 1-0 FN
- FN 1-1 LYN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Nordsjaelland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.81last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.38last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 13.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- A. Lind5G 3A9 apps
- Ibrahim Adel5G 2A10 apps
- R. Norheim1G 3A10 apps
Lyngby
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.52last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.75last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.2last 10
- Shots
- 13.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 13.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- S. Colyn4G 3A8 apps
- Í. Þorvaldsson3G 2A9 apps
- F. Gytkjær2G 1A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Right to Dream Park, Farum
- Surface
- Artificial turf
- Capacity
- 10,300
Line movement
FC Nordsjaelland—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lyngby—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward FC Nordsjaelland, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.93Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)336Fixture congestion (home)0.00Attacking xG form (home)1.76Expected goals (away)1.01What's at stake (home)0.22
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.