FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction
BundesligaRound 8
FC Schalke 0415:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
RB LeipzigMost likelyRB Leipzig win · 46%
Prediction
28%1FC Schalke 04
26%XDraw
46%2RB Leipzig
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | FC Schalke 04 | RB Leipzig |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Schalke 04
- L1-2SF
- D0-0SE
- W3-1UB
- D0-0BM
- L0-3FA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
RB Leipzig
- W6-0EF
- L0-2BL
- W5-0HS
- L1-4COM
- L1-3WB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Schalke 04
No reported absences.
RB Leipzig
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Schalke 04
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 5
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 5
- xG for / game
- 1.23last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 5
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- BTTS
- 2 / 5
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 5
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 5
- Shots
- 10.4last 5
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 5
- Fouls
- 8.8last 5
- Yellow cards
- 1.0last 5
RB Leipzig
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.36last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.53last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.3last 10
- Shots
- 17.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.5last 10
- Fouls
- 9.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Line movement
FC Schalke 04—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
RB Leipzig—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a RB Leipzig result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-162Defensive xG form (away)2.42Attacking xG form (away)2.81Pi-rating edge-0.14League id78.0Home advantage (team-tuned)34.3
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.