FC Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
BundesligaRound 10
FC Schalke 0418:30
Sat 21 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
VfB StuttgartMost likelyVfB Stuttgart win · 54%
Best price1.85 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: VfB Stuttgart win
Oddbert gives VfB Stuttgart a 54% chance of winning.
22%FC Schalke 04
24%Draw
54%VfB Stuttgart
In 100 matches like this, VfB Stuttgart would win about 54. In the other 46 or so, VfB Stuttgart doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: FC Schalke 04 win 22, Draw 24, VfB Stuttgart win 54.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
22%1FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04 winmarket 24%
24%XDrawDrawmarket 23%
54%2VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart winmarket 53%
Our model vs market
FC Schalke 04 -1.9 ppDraw +1.5 ppVfB Stuttgart +0.4 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 7 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
FC Schalke 04 meet VfB Stuttgart. Our forecast (the market price with a small adjustment from our model) leans toward VfB Stuttgart; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | FC Schalke 04pays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | VfB Stuttgartpays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.90best | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 4.05 | 1.85best |
| Marathonbet | 3.82 | 4.20best | 1.84 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — VfB Stuttgart at 1.85 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for VfB Stuttgart (54%), doesn't happen in about 46 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Schalke 04
- L1-21H
- L0-2RL
- D0-01FK
- L0-1FM0
- L1-2SF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
VfB Stuttgart
- W1-0WB
- L0-2GAL
- W4-2BL
- L2-3BM
- D1-1AM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Schalke 04
Absence data is not available for this match.
VfB Stuttgart
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Schalke 04
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 9
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 9
- xG for / game
- 1.15last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.91last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 9
- BTTS
- 3 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 9
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 9
- Shots
- 11.0last 9
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 9
- Fouls
- 10.3last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
- J. Adamu1G 1A7 apps
- A. Aouchiche1G 0A9 apps
- M. Wober1G 0A6 apps
VfB Stuttgart
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.76last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.62last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.1last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- E. Demirović5G 0A10 apps
- J. Leweling2G 1A10 apps
- A. Stiller0G 3A7 apps
Line movement
FC Schalke 04—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
VfB Stuttgart—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (the market price with a small adjustment from our model) leans toward VfB Stuttgart; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.45Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-187Attacking xG form (away)1.69Rest-days edge-1.04League id78.0What's at stake (home)0.15
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.