FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 3
FC Thun18:45
Thu 5 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Heart Of MidlothianMost likelyHeart Of Midlothian win · 43%
Prediction
30%1FC Thun
27%XDraw
43%2Heart Of Midlothian
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FC Thun
- L0-1TWE
- D2-2LP
- L0-7LP
- L2-3VR
- W3-0VR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Heart Of Midlothian
- D1-1FN
- D1-1RV
- D2-2RV
- D1-1BEN
- L1-6BEN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FC Thun
No reported absences.
Heart Of Midlothian
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FC Thun
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 7
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 7
- xG for / game
- 0.18last 1
- xG against / game
- 2.03last 1
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- BTTS
- 4 / 7
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 7
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 6
- Shots
- 9.6last 5
- Shots on target
- 3.3last 6
- Fouls
- 16.2last 6
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 6
Heart Of Midlothian
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.12last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.75last 4
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 12.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 10
- Fouls
- 11.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- Oisin McEntee1G 0A1 apps
- Jamie McCart0G 1A1 apps
Line movement
FC Thun—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Heart Of Midlothian—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Heart Of Midlothian result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-64.0Defensive xG form (away)6.82Attacking xG form (away)3.56Attacking xG form (home)1.99Away form (away)2.11What's at stake (home)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.