Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Ferencvarosi TC21:00
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
CeljeMost likelyFerencvarosi TC win · 80%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Ferencvarosi TC win
Oddbert gives Ferencvarosi TC a 80% chance of winning.
80%Ferencvarosi TC
12%Draw
8%Celje
In 100 matches like this, Ferencvarosi TC would win about 80. In the other 20 or so, Ferencvarosi TC doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Ferencvarosi TC win 80, Draw 12, Celje win 8.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
80%1Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC win
12%XDrawDraw
8%2CeljeCelje win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Ferencvarosi TC meet Celje. The model leans toward Ferencvarosi TC, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Ferencvarosi TC (80%), doesn't happen in about 20 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Ferencvarosi TC
- W2-0AM
- W4-1TOR
- W2-1PLZ
- W3-1CEL
- W4-0TRA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Celje
- W3-2SG
- D2-2RBS
- L0-3ON
- L0-2BL
- L1-2SB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Ferencvarosi TC
Absence data is not available for this match.
Celje
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Ferencvarosi TC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.57last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 3
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.4last 9
- Shots on target
- 5.2last 10
- Fouls
- 13.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- K. Zachariassen3G 4A6 apps
- L. Joseph4G 1A4 apps
- B. Yusuf2G 2A6 apps
Celje
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.21last 4
- xG against / game
- 2.15last 4
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 10.6last 9
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.9last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.7last 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- S. Sešlar3G 1A6 apps
- M. Avdyli1G 1A6 apps
- A. Kučys1G 0A6 apps
Line movement
Ferencvarosi TC—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Celje—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Ferencvarosi TC, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)3.19Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)393Pi-rating edge0.58Expected goals (home)3.86What's at stake (away)0.00What's at stake (home)0.21
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.