Feyenoord vs FC Porto prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Feyenoord21:00
Tue 24 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FC PortoMost likelyFC Porto win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: FC Porto win
Oddbert gives FC Porto a 49% chance of winning.
31%Feyenoord
20%Draw
49%FC Porto
In 100 matches like this, FC Porto would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, FC Porto doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Feyenoord win 31, Draw 20, FC Porto win 49.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
31%1FeyenoordFeyenoord win
20%XDrawDraw
49%2FC PortoFC Porto win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Feyenoord meet FC Porto. The model leans toward FC Porto, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and What's at stake (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
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Even the most likely result, a win for FC Porto (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Feyenoord
- L3-5HEE
- L0-3INT
- D1-1FS
- D1-1PE
- L0-1RB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Porto
- W2-1VS
- W4-1NAP
- W4-0EST
- W1-0GV
- L0-1PE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Feyenoord
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Porto
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Feyenoord
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.01last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.19last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.5last 10
- Fouls
- 9.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Key players
- Nacho Ferri7G 2A10 apps
- A. Hadj-Moussa7G 1A10 apps
- L. Valente2G 3A10 apps
FC Porto
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.74last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.15last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 15.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- Gabri Veiga4G 3A10 apps
- Borja Sainz4G 1A10 apps
- André Silva2G 2A10 apps
Line movement
Feyenoord—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Porto—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward FC Porto, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and What's at stake (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (away)0.00What's at stake (home)0.00Attacking xG form (away)2.02Pi-rating edge-0.37Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-152Away form (away)9.36
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.