Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard prediction
EredivisieRound 11
Feyenoord16:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Fortuna SittardMost likelyFeyenoord win · 56%
Prediction
56%1Feyenoord
27%XDraw
17%2Fortuna Sittard
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Feyenoord | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Feyenoord
- W2-0AA
- W5-0UTR
- W7-0PZ
- L1-5BAR
- W3-1NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Fortuna Sittard
- D1-1TWE
- W1-0WI
- L1-5AJA
- W3-2ADH
- W3-2GRO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Feyenoord
No reported absences.
Fortuna Sittard
No reported absences.
Head to head
Feyenoord 3Draws 1Fortuna Sittard 0
- FS 1-2 FEY
- FEY 2-0 FS
- FS 0-2 FEY
- FEY 1-1 FS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Feyenoord
Goals
- Scored / game
- 3.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.76last 9
- xG against / game
- 0.79last 9
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 19.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.4last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 7
Fortuna Sittard
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.91last 9
- xG against / game
- 2.18last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.1last 10
- Shots
- 11.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 10
- Fouls
- 8.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Line movement
Feyenoord—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Fortuna Sittard—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Feyenoord result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge1.01Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)267Attacking xG form (home)2.41What's at stake (away)0.02Defensive xG form (home)2.30Clean-sheet streak (home)3.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.