Fiorentina W vs Lazio W prediction
Serie A WomenRound 7
Fiorentina W18:00
Sat 14 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Lazio WMost likelyFiorentina W win · 47%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Fiorentina W win
Oddbert gives Fiorentina W a 47% chance of winning.
47%Fiorentina W
27%Draw
26%Lazio W
In 100 matches like this, Fiorentina W would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, Fiorentina W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Fiorentina W win 47, Draw 27, Lazio W win 26.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
47%1Fiorentina WFiorentina W win
27%XDrawDraw
26%2Lazio WLazio W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Fiorentina W (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Fiorentina W
- W4-0TW
- L1-2JW
- W2-1PW
- D1-1CW
- W2-0SW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lazio W
- D0-0NW
- L0-3IMW
- D0-0CW
- L0-1TW
- L1-3RW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Fiorentina W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Lazio W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Fiorentina W 2Draws 0Lazio W 2
- FW 2-1 LW
- LW 3-0 FW
- LW 2-0 FW
- FW 3-2 LW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Fiorentina W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.28last 3
- xG against / game
- 0.61last 3
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.2last 4
- Shots
- 14.8last 4
- Shots on target
- 6.5last 4
- Fouls
- 9.8last 4
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 3
Key players
Player data from 1 of 10 matches
- Sofie Bredgaard0G 2A1 app
- Maria Filangeri1G 0A1 app
- Maya Cherubini1G 0A1 app
Lazio W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.51last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.87last 3
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 4
- Shots
- 9.5last 4
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 4
- Fouls
- 12.2last 4
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 3
Line movement
Fiorentina W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lazio W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Fiorentina W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.48Expected goals (away)1.03Goal correlation-0.04
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.