FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 2
FK Jablonec18:45
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
BrightonMost likelyBrighton win · 66%
Prediction
11%1FK Jablonec
23%XDraw
66%2Brighton
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
FK Jablonec
- W1-0RAN
- L0-1RAN
- W2-1RF
- W2-0RF
- W2-0NV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Brighton
- W2-0SUN
- W3-0ARS
- W5-0COV
- D1-1LEE
- L3-4CHE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
FK Jablonec
No reported absences.
Brighton
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
FK Jablonec
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 6
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 6
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- BTTS
- 2 / 6
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 6
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 4
- Shots
- 10.5last 2
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 4
- Fouls
- 12.5last 4
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 4
Brighton
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.06last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.43last 8
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 18.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Line movement
FK Jablonec—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Brighton—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Brighton result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Rest-days edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-463Rest-days edge43.9Attacking xG form (home)2.16Pi-rating edge-0.42Away form (away)7.87Attacking xG form (away)1.77
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.