Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen prediction
EredivisieRound 14Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard14:30
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
HeerenveenMost likelyHeerenveen win · 46%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Heerenveen win
Oddbert gives Heerenveen a 46% chance of winning.
34%Fortuna Sittard
20%Draw
46%Heerenveen
In 100 matches like this, Heerenveen would win about 46. In the other 54 or so, Heerenveen doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Fortuna Sittard win 34, Draw 20, Heerenveen win 46.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
34%1Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard win
20%XDrawDraw
46%2HeerenveenHeerenveen win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Heerenveen (46%), doesn't happen in about 54 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Fortuna Sittard
- D2-2TEL
- D1-1FEY
- W1-0EXC
- D2-2NN
- D1-1TWE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Heerenveen
- W5-3FEY
- W1-0NN
- W3-2ADH
- W4-0EXC
- L0-2PE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Fortuna Sittard
Absence data is not available for this match.
Heerenveen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Fortuna Sittard 2Draws 1Heerenveen 1
- HEE 2-1 FS
- FS 2-0 HEE
- HEE 2-2 FS
- FS 3-0 HEE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Fortuna Sittard
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.85last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.96last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.7last 10
- Shots
- 9.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 11.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- M. Ihattaren4G 3A9 apps
- A. Descotte5G 0A9 apps
- L. Zeefuik2G 1A8 apps
Heerenveen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.65last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.41last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 15.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 8.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 9
Key players
- J. Trenskow5G 3A10 apps
- R. Meerveld5G 1A10 apps
- L. Smans1G 4A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 12,500
Line movement
Fortuna Sittard—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Heerenveen—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Heerenveen result here; the model's main factors are Attacking xG form (away) and What's at stake (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)1.89What's at stake (away)0.08Away form (away)5.88Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-31.4Recent form (away)8.84Defensive xG form (away)1.69
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.