Frosinone vs Parma prediction
Serie ARound 13PSC Arena
Frosinone18:30
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
ParmaMost likelyFrosinone win · 60%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Frosinone win
Oddbert gives Frosinone a 60% chance of winning.
60%Frosinone
23%Draw
17%Parma
In 100 matches like this, Frosinone would win about 60. In the other 40 or so, Frosinone doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Frosinone win 60, Draw 23, Parma win 17.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
60%1FrosinoneFrosinone win
23%XDrawDraw
17%2ParmaParma win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Frosinone meet Parma. The model leans toward Frosinone, shaped mainly by Expected goals (home) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Frosinone (60%), doesn't happen in about 40 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Frosinone
- L0-1CAG
- W2-0TOR
- W5-1LEC
- D4-4ATA
- W4-2SAS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Parma
- L1-2BOL
- W3-0ATA
- D0-0UDI
- L1-2LAZ
- L0-3TOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Frosinone
Absence data is not available for this match.
Parma
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Frosinone
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.93last 9
- xG against / game
- 2.01last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.4last 10
- Shots
- 21.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.3last 10
- Fouls
- 14.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- A. Raimondo8G 0A9 apps
- G. Calò5G 1A10 apps
- G. Kvernadze3G 3A10 apps
Parma
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.85last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.10last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 10
- Shots
- 9.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.3last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- S. Lontani3G 0A10 apps
- G. Fabbian1G 2A9 apps
- D. Romero2G 0A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- PSC Arena, Frosinone
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 16,310
Line movement
Frosinone—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Parma—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Frosinone, shaped mainly by Expected goals (home) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)2.24Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)295Pi-rating edge0.48Home form (home)9.75What's at stake (away)0.13Attacking xG form (home)2.22
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.