Fulham vs Bournemouth prediction
Premier LeagueRound 12Craven Cottage
Fulham15:05
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BournemouthMost likelyBournemouth win · 39%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Bournemouth win
Oddbert gives Bournemouth a 39% chance of winning.
35%Fulham
26%Draw
39%Bournemouth
In 100 matches like this, Bournemouth would win about 39. In the other 61 or so, Bournemouth doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Fulham win 35, Draw 26, Bournemouth win 39.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
35%1FulhamFulham win
26%XDrawDraw
39%2BournemouthBournemouth win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Fulham meet Bournemouth. The model leans only slightly toward Bournemouth in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Recent form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Bournemouth (39%), doesn't happen in about 61 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Fulham
- D1-1NEW
- D1-1AV
- W1-0COV
- W1-0HC
- L1-2IPS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bournemouth
- W2-1IPS
- W3-1SP
- W2-0LEE
- W3-0MU
- W3-0AM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Fulham
Absence data is not available for this match.
Bournemouth
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Fulham 0Draws 1Bournemouth 3
- FUL 0-1 BOU
- BOU 3-1 FUL
- BOU 1-0 FUL
- FUL 2-2 BOU
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Fulham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.46last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.38last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Key players
- Joshua King2G 1A10 apps
- A. Iwobi1G 0A10 apps
- Oscar Bobb1G 0A10 apps
Bournemouth
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.25last 9
- xG against / game
- 0.95last 9
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.2last 10
- Fouls
- 14.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Key players
- Evanilson7G 2A10 apps
- Rayan4G 0A10 apps
- J. Kluivert2G 2A7 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Craven Cottage, London
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 29,589
Line movement
Fulham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bournemouth—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Bournemouth in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Recent form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (home)0.94Recent form (away)9.64What's at stake (away)0.16Attacking xG form (away)2.13Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-78.8Pi-rating edge-0.35
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.