Fulham vs Hull City prediction
Premier LeagueRound 7Craven Cottage
Fulham16:00
Sat 17 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Hull CityMost likelyFulham win · 55%
Best price1.73 Onexbet
Prediction
55%1Fulhammarket 58%
24%XDrawmarket 23%
21%2Hull Citymarket 19%
Fulham-3.0 ppDraw+0.8 ppHull City+2.2 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Fulhampays 4% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | Hull Citypays 9% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.95 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Betvictor | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 4.00 | 5.05 |
| Onexbet | 1.73best | 4.11best | 5.18best |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.09 | 4.87 |
| Sbo | 1.61 | 3.62 | 4.31 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Fulham at 1.73 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Fulham
- L1-2IPS
- D1-1MU
- D0-0LIV
- L2-3CP
- L0-1SUN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Hull City
- D2-2EVE
- L1-2NEW
- D2-2CHE
- D0-0AV
- W1-0COV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Fulham
No reported absences.
Hull City
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Fulham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.61last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Hull City
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.18last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.24last 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 10.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.6last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Craven Cottage, London
Line movement
Fulham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Hull City—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Fulham result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and League id. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.66League id39.0Recent form (home)1.47Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)23.7Defensive xG form (away)1.46Defensive xG form (home)1.62
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.