Fulham vs Newcastle prediction
Premier LeagueRound 10Craven Cottage
Fulham16:00
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
NewcastleMost likelyNewcastle win · 37%
Prediction
35%1Fulham
28%XDraw
37%2Newcastle
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Fulham
- L1-2IPS
- D1-1MU
- D0-0LIV
- L2-3CP
- L0-1SUN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Newcastle
- L1-4COV
- W2-1HC
- L1-4LEE
- D2-2BOU
- W2-0TOT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Fulham
No reported absences.
Newcastle
No reported absences.
Head to head
Fulham 3Draws 0Newcastle 1
- FUL 2-0 NEW
- NEW 2-1 FUL
- NEW 1-2 FUL
- FUL 3-1 NEW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Fulham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.61last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Newcastle
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.39last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.60last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.6last 10
- Shots
- 12.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 10.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- S. Botman1G 0A1 apps
- Nico González0G 1A1 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Craven Cottage, London
Line movement
Fulham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Newcastle—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Newcastle result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Away form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)1.53Away form (away)2.16League id39.0Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-26.8Home advantage (team-tuned)40.6Pi-rating edge-0.15
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.