Genoa vs Torino prediction
Serie ARound 14
Genoa18:30
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
TorinoMost likelyGenoa win · 39%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Genoa win
Oddbert gives Genoa a 39% chance of winning.
39%Genoa
26%Draw
35%Torino
In 100 matches like this, Genoa would win about 39. In the other 61 or so, Genoa doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Genoa win 39, Draw 26, Torino win 35.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
39%1GenoaGenoa win
26%XDrawDraw
35%2TorinoTorino win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Genoa meet Torino. The model leans only slightly toward Genoa in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Home advantage (team-tuned). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Genoa (39%), doesn't happen in about 61 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Genoa
- L1-2AM
- W2-1LEC
- W2-0JUV
- W1-0VEN
- L0-2AR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Torino
- D1-1LEC
- L0-2FRO
- L1-3COM
- W3-2MON
- W3-0PAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Genoa
Absence data is not available for this match.
Torino
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Genoa 1Draws 2Torino 1
- GEN 3-0 TOR
- TOR 2-1 GEN
- TOR 1-1 GEN
- GEN 0-0 TOR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Genoa
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.96last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- M. Osmajić4G 1A10 apps
- M. Ellertsson2G 1A10 apps
- Junior Messias2G 1A10 apps
Torino
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
- R. Belghali1G 3A9 apps
- C. Adams3G 0A8 apps
- G. Simeone2G 1A10 apps
Line movement
Genoa—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Torino—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Genoa in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Home advantage (team-tuned). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.89Home advantage (team-tuned)10.5League id135Pi-rating edge0.09Expected goals (home)1.29Fixture congestion (home)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.