Gent vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 4
Gent21:00
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FK Crvena ZvezdaMost likelyGent win · 47%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Gent win
Oddbert gives Gent a 47% chance of winning.
47%Gent
23%Draw
30%FK Crvena Zvezda
In 100 matches like this, Gent would win about 47. In the other 53 or so, Gent doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Gent win 47, Draw 23, FK Crvena Zvezda win 30.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
47%1GentGent win
23%XDrawDraw
30%2FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Gent (47%), doesn't happen in about 53 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Gent
- D0-0KUP
- L0-2SB
- W1-0AAR
- W3-2HIB
- D0-0HIB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FK Crvena Zvezda
- W2-1ICD
- D2-2FC
- L2-3FL
- L1-5PLZ
- W3-0PLZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Gent
Absence data is not available for this match.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Gent
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.12last 4
- xG against / game
- 0.84last 4
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 1 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 8
- Shots
- 14.6last 5
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 8
- Fouls
- 10.6last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 8
Key players
Player data from 5 of 10 matches
- Tiago Araújo0G 2A5 apps
- A. Brown1G 0A1 app
- Hyllarion Goore1G 0A4 apps
FK Crvena Zvezda
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.31last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.08last 4
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 17.8last 8
- Shots on target
- 6.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
Player data from 4 of 10 matches
- Timi Max Elšnik2G 0A4 apps
- Rade Krunić1G 1A4 apps
- Vladimir Lučić1G 1A3 apps
Line movement
Gent—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FK Crvena Zvezda—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Gent result here; the model's main factors are What's at stake (home) and What's at stake (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.00What's at stake (away)0.00Attacking xG form (away)1.83Expected goals (home)0.88Home advantage (team-tuned)107Pi-rating edge0.09
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.