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18+18+ only

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.

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Every prediction is logged before kick-off and scored after the final whistle.© 2026 Oddbert. No affiliate links. No betting accepted. · Weather data from OpenWeather (ODbL).

Getafe vs Sevilla prediction

La LigaLa Liga·Round 11·Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
GetafeGetafe
14:00
Sun 1 Nov
Prediction T-24h
SevillaSevilla

Most likelyGetafe win · 40%

PredictionOddsContextMovementDetails

Prediction

40%1Getafe
27%XDraw
33%2Sevilla

These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes

Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026

Odds comparison

Bookmaker decimal odds for this match
BookmakerGetafeSevilla

Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.

Stake sizer

No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.

Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.

Match context

Strength-adjusted form

Getafe

  1. L↑0-3BAR
  2. W↓1-0MAL
  3. L↑0-1RB
  4. D↓1-1DLC
  5. D=1-1CV

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Sevilla

  1. D=3-3LEV
  2. L↑1-3BAR
  3. W↓1-0DLC
  4. W=1-0VAL
  5. D=1-1ESP

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Injuries & absences

Getafe

No reported absences.

Sevilla

No reported absences.

Head to head

Getafe 1Draws 1Sevilla 2
  • GET 0-1 SEV
  • SEV 1-2 GET
  • GET 0-0 SEV
  • SEV 1-0 GET

Recent form

Recent form — context only, not a tip.

Getafe

Goals

Scored / game
0.5last 10
Conceded / game
1.1last 10
xG for / game
0.53last 10
xG against / game
1.24last 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
BTTS
2 / 10
Over 2.5
2 / 10

Match stats

Corners
3.2last 10
Shots
9.6last 10
Shots on target
2.3last 10
Fouls
14.4last 10
Yellow cards
3.0last 10

Sevilla

Goals

Scored / game
1.3last 10
Conceded / game
1.4last 10
xG for / game
1.02last 10
xG against / game
1.36last 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
BTTS
6 / 10
Over 2.5
5 / 10

Match stats

Corners
3.2last 10
Shots
11.8last 10
Shots on target
4.2last 10
Fouls
15.6last 10
Yellow cards
2.9last 10

Key players

  • R. Ure1G 1A1 apps
  • Isaac1G 0A1 apps
  • Félix Correia1G 0A1 apps

Venue

Venue
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe

Line movement

Getafe—

No line movement recorded yet

Draw—

No line movement recorded yet

Sevilla—

No line movement recorded yet

Under the hood

How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.

Why this prediction

ExplanationAI · grounded

The model leans toward a Getafe result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Home form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.

The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.

How we make these predictions
Top model factors
Attacking xG form (home)0.5724%Home form (home)7.3814%Attacking xG form (away)0.7013%Fixture congestion (home)0.0012%Pi-rating edge0.1210%Recent form (home)2.9110%

The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.