Getafe vs Valencia prediction
La LigaRound 15
Getafe17:00
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
ValenciaMost likelyGetafe win · 38%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Getafe win
Oddbert gives Getafe a 38% chance of winning.
38%Getafe
27%Draw
35%Valencia
In 100 matches like this, Getafe would win about 38. In the other 62 or so, Getafe doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Getafe win 38, Draw 27, Valencia win 35.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
38%1GetafeGetafe win
27%XDrawDraw
35%2ValenciaValencia win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Getafe meet Valencia. The model leans only slightly toward Getafe in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and League id. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Getafe (38%), doesn't happen in about 62 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Getafe
- L0-2VIL
- L0-1BRI
- W3-1SEV
- L0-4AC
- L2-5FL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Valencia
- L0-3RM
- W1-0ELC
- L1-2VIL
- D0-0AC
- D2-2RS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Getafe
Absence data is not available for this match.
Valencia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Getafe 0Draws 1Valencia 3
- GET 0-1 VAL
- VAL 3-0 GET
- VAL 3-0 GET
- GET 1-1 VAL
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Getafe
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.85last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.39last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.5last 10
- Fouls
- 13.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
- M. Satriano2G 2A10 apps
- Iván Azón2G 0A8 apps
- E. Ünal1G 1A8 apps
Valencia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.99last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.65last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.7last 10
- Shots
- 9.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.9last 10
- Fouls
- 13.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Key players
- U. Sadiq2G 0A3 apps
- Javi Guerra0G 2A10 apps
- Luis Rioja1G 0A7 apps
Line movement
Getafe—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Valencia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Getafe in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and League id. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-42.3League id140What's at stake (away)0.09Expected goals (away)0.76Pi-rating edge0.12Attacking xG form (away)1.11
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.