Gibraltar vs Malta prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League D - 6
Gibraltar20:45
Mon 16 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
MaltaMost likelyMalta win · 43%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Malta win
Oddbert gives Malta a 43% chance of winning.
33%Gibraltar
24%Draw
43%Malta
In 100 matches like this, Malta would win about 43. In the other 57 or so, Malta doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Gibraltar win 33, Draw 24, Malta win 43.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
33%1GibraltarGibraltar win
24%XDrawDraw
43%2MaltaMalta win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Gibraltar meet Malta. The model leans only slightly toward Malta in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Malta (43%), doesn't happen in about 57 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Gibraltar
- W2-0LIE
- D1-1MAL
- D0-0AND
- D0-0STA
- W4-1CI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Malta
- W1-0AND
- D1-1GIB
- W2-0LIE
- W2-1AND
- W2-0AZE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Gibraltar
Absence data is not available for this match.
Malta
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Gibraltar 0Draws 1Malta 1
- MAL 1-1 GIB
- MAL 2-0 GIB
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Gibraltar
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Key players
Player data from 6 of 10 matches
- James Scanlon1G 1A6 apps
- Liam Jessop1G 0A1 app
Malta
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Key players
Player data from 7 of 10 matches
- Teddy Teuma3G 1A5 apps
- Irvin Cardona2G 1A7 apps
- Ylyas Chouaref0G 3A7 apps
Line movement
Gibraltar—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Malta—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Malta in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (home)1120Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.