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18+18+ only

Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.

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Every prediction is logged before kick-off and scored after the final whistle.© 2026 Oddbert. No affiliate links. No betting accepted. · Weather data from OpenWeather (ODbL).

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC prediction

Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga·Round 10
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
21:15
Mon 2 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Vitória SCVitória SC

Most likelyGIL Vicente win · 43%

PredictionOddsContextMovementDetails

Prediction

43%1GIL Vicente
29%XDraw
28%2Vitória SC

These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes

Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026

Odds comparison

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet

We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).

Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.

Stake sizer

No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.

Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.

Match context

Strength-adjusted form

GIL Vicente

  1. W=1-0MOR
  2. D↓1-1MAR
  3. L↑1-3BEN
  4. L↓0-1AV
  5. D↑0-0FAM

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Vitória SC

  1. L↑0-2BEN
  2. D=1-1MOR
  3. L↓1-2AV
  4. D↓0-0CP
  5. L↑0-1SB

↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent

Injuries & absences

GIL Vicente

No reported absences.

Vitória SC

No reported absences.

Head to head

GIL Vicente 0Draws 1Vitória SC 3
  • GV 0-1 VS
  • VS 0-0 GV
  • GV 0-1 VS
  • VS 4-0 GV

Recent form

Recent form — context only, not a tip.

GIL Vicente

Goals

Scored / game
0.7last 10
Conceded / game
1.1last 10
xG for / game
1.15last 9
xG against / game
1.13last 9
Clean sheets
5 / 10
BTTS
3 / 10
Over 2.5
3 / 10

Match stats

Corners
3.9last 10
Shots
13.5last 10
Shots on target
3.4last 10
Fouls
13.5last 10
Yellow cards
2.0last 10

Vitória SC

Goals

Scored / game
0.5last 10
Conceded / game
1.3last 10
xG for / game
1.38last 9
xG against / game
1.08last 9
Clean sheets
2 / 10
BTTS
3 / 10
Over 2.5
2 / 10

Match stats

Corners
5.8last 10
Shots
17.0last 10
Shots on target
3.9last 10
Fouls
15.0last 10
Yellow cards
2.9last 9

Line movement

GIL Vicente—

No line movement recorded yet

Draw—

No line movement recorded yet

Vitória SC—

No line movement recorded yet

Under the hood

How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.

Why this prediction

ExplanationAI · grounded

The model leans toward a GIL Vicente result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.

The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.

How we make these predictions
Top model factors
Attacking xG form (home)2.2726%Pi-rating edge0.3516%Recent form (away)1.2113%Attacking xG form (away)1.3210%Rest-days edge1.979%Fixture congestion (home)0.009%

The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.