GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar prediction
EredivisieRound 10De Adelaarshorst
GO Ahead Eagles20:00
Fri 23 Oct
Prediction T-24h
TelstarMost likelyGO Ahead Eagles win · 61%
Best price1.54 Onexbet
Prediction
62%1GO Ahead Eaglesmarket 64%
21%XDrawmarket 20%
17%2Telstarmarket 16%
GO Ahead Eagles-3.0 ppDraw+1.5 ppTelstar+1.5 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | GO Ahead Eaglespays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Telstarpays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.45 | 5.70best |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.55 | 5.45 |
| Onexbet | 1.54best | 4.69best | 5.62 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — GO Ahead Eagles at 1.54 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
GO Ahead Eagles
- D3-3SR
- D1-1NN
- D1-1GRO
- D3-3UTR
- L2-5AA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Telstar
- D2-2ADH
- L0-1AA
- D0-0HEE
- L0-1TWE
- D2-2CAM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
GO Ahead Eagles
No reported absences.
Telstar
No reported absences.
Head to head
GO Ahead Eagles 0Draws 1Telstar 1
- GAE 1-1 TEL
- TEL 4-2 GAE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
GO Ahead Eagles
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.60last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.97last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 10 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 10
- Fouls
- 7.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 7
Telstar
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.33last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.87last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 10.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Venue
- Venue
- De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Line movement
GO Ahead Eagles—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Telstar—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a GO Ahead Eagles result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Recent form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.25Recent form (away)1.84Attacking xG form (home)1.86Recent form (home)2.88Defensive xG form (away)1.78Home advantage (team-tuned)74.0
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.