Granad. Tenerife W vs Madrid CFF W prediction
Primera División FemeninaWomenRound 12
Granad. Tenerife W17:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Madrid CFF WMost likelyGranad. Tenerife W win · 70%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Granad. Tenerife W win
Oddbert gives Granad. Tenerife W a 70% chance of winning.
70%Granad. Tenerife W
16%Draw
14%Madrid CFF W
In 100 matches like this, Granad. Tenerife W would win about 70. In the other 30 or so, Granad. Tenerife W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Granad. Tenerife W win 70, Draw 16, Madrid CFF W win 14.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
70%1Granad. Tenerife WGranad. Tenerife W win
16%XDrawDraw
14%2Madrid CFF WMadrid CFF W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Granad. Tenerife W (70%), doesn't happen in about 30 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Granad. Tenerife W
- W2-0ACW
- L2-3RMW
- W4-0FLB
- W2-1ELW
- W2-1VW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Madrid CFF W
- L1-5BW
- W2-1DDL
- D2-2EW
- L0-4AMW
- D2-2ACW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Granad. Tenerife W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Madrid CFF W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Granad. Tenerife W 3Draws 1Madrid CFF W 2
- GTW 2-0 MCW
- MCW 0-2 GTW
- GTW 2-0 MCW
- MCW 2-1 GTW
- GTW 2-2 MCW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Granad. Tenerife W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Madrid CFF W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Line movement
Granad. Tenerife W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Madrid CFF W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Granad. Tenerife W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)2.46Expected goals (away)1.00Goal correlation0.04
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.