Granada vs Real Madrid W prediction
Primera División FemeninaWomenRound 12
Granada12:00
Sun 22 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Real Madrid WMost likelyReal Madrid W win · 66%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Real Madrid W win
Oddbert gives Real Madrid W a 66% chance of winning.
15%Granada
19%Draw
66%Real Madrid W
In 100 matches like this, Real Madrid W would win about 66. In the other 34 or so, Real Madrid W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Granada win 15, Draw 19, Real Madrid W win 66.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
15%1GranadaGranada win
19%XDrawDraw
66%2Real Madrid WReal Madrid W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Real Madrid W (66%), doesn't happen in about 34 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Granada
- L0-1EW
- D1-1AMW
- L0-3BW
- W3-2ELW
- D0-0EW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Real Madrid W
- W3-0PFW
- D1-1ACW
- W3-1SW
- D2-2BMW
- W3-2GTW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Granada
Absence data is not available for this match.
Real Madrid W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Granada 0Draws 0Real Madrid W 6
- RMW 2-0 GRA
- GRA 0-3 RMW
- GRA 1-2 RMW
- RMW 3-1 GRA
- RMW 5-0 GRA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Granada
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Real Madrid W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.08last 2
- xG against / game
- 1.56last 2
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.5last 4
- Shots
- 13.5last 4
- Shots on target
- 5.2last 4
- Fouls
- 10.2last 4
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 4
Line movement
Granada—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Real Madrid W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Real Madrid W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)2.13Expected goals (home)0.91Goal correlation0.04
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.