Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W prediction
Frauen BundesligaWomenRound 10Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage
Hamburger SV W18:30
Fri 13 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Mainz 05 WMost likelyHamburger SV W win · 74%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Hamburger SV W win
Oddbert gives Hamburger SV W a 74% chance of winning.
74%Hamburger SV W
17%Draw
9%Mainz 05 W
In 100 matches like this, Hamburger SV W would win about 74. In the other 26 or so, Hamburger SV W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Hamburger SV W win 74, Draw 17, Mainz 05 W win 9.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
74%1Hamburger SV WHamburger SV W win
17%XDrawDraw
9%2Mainz 05 WMainz 05 W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Hamburger SV W
- L0-2BLW
- D4-4UBW
- L1-3FKW
- L1-2VWW
- W5-1NW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Mainz 05 W
- L1-3SW
- L1-31HW
- L0-5VWW
- L0-5RLW
- L2-3EFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Hamburger SV W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Mainz 05 W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Hamburger SV W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.26last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.98last 3
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.7last 9
- Shots
- 12.2last 9
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 9
- Fouls
- 9.4last 9
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- C. Linberg4G 1A9 apps
- S. Stoldt4G 0A9 apps
- N. Karczewska3G 1A7 apps
Mainz 05 W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 9
- Conceded / game
- 3.3last 9
- xG for / game
- 0.60last 4
- xG against / game
- 2.12last 4
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 9
- BTTS
- 4 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 9
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 8
- Shots
- 10.1last 8
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 8
- Fouls
- 10.6last 8
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 7
Key players
Player data from 8 of 9 matches
- N. Anstatt1G 0A6 apps
- V. Kats1G 0A8 apps
- K. Bathmann1G 0A7 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg-Stellingen
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 2,018
Line movement
Hamburger SV W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Mainz 05 W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Hamburger SV W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)2.35Expected goals (away)0.69Goal correlation-0.02
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.