Heerenveen vs Cambuur prediction
EredivisieRound 15Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen12:15
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
CambuurMost likelyHeerenveen win · 65%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Heerenveen win
Oddbert gives Heerenveen a 65% chance of winning.
65%Heerenveen
24%Draw
11%Cambuur
In 100 matches like this, Heerenveen would win about 65. In the other 35 or so, Heerenveen doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Heerenveen win 65, Draw 24, Cambuur win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
65%1HeerenveenHeerenveen win
24%XDrawDraw
11%2CambuurCambuur win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Heerenveen (65%), doesn't happen in about 35 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Heerenveen
- W5-3FEY
- W1-0NN
- W3-2ADH
- W4-0EXC
- L0-2PE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Cambuur
- L2-5PE
- W4-0GAE
- W6-1WI
- D2-2AA
- W1-0PZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Heerenveen
Absence data is not available for this match.
Cambuur
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Heerenveen
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.65last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.41last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 15.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 8.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 9
Key players
- J. Trenskow5G 3A10 apps
- R. Meerveld5G 1A10 apps
- L. Smans1G 4A9 apps
Cambuur
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.39last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.59last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 12.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- R. El Arguioui5G 3A10 apps
- I. Hamache5G 3A10 apps
- N. Binder5G 2A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 27,224
Line movement
Heerenveen—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Cambuur—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Heerenveen result here; the model's main factors are Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Attacking xG form (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)322Attacking xG form (home)1.89Pi-rating edge0.39Expected goals (home)2.45What's at stake (away)0.10Recent form (away)5.57
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.