Hull City vs Brentford prediction
Premier LeagueRound 8
Hull City15:00
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
BrentfordMost likelyBrentford win · 53%
Best price1.79 Onexbet
Prediction
22%1Hull Citymarket 20%
25%XDrawmarket 24%
53%2Brentfordmarket 56%
Hull City+2.3 ppDraw+0.7 ppBrentford-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Hull Citypays 4% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Brentfordpays 3% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| Betano | 4.55 | 3.85 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 3.98 | 1.74 |
| Onexbet | 4.72best | 4.09best | 1.79best |
| Pinnacle | 4.64 | 3.96 | 1.70 |
| Sbo | 4.32 | 3.60 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Brentford at 1.79 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Hull City
- D2-2EVE
- L1-2NEW
- D2-2CHE
- D0-0AV
- W1-0COV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Brentford
- D2-2AV
- W3-0CHE
- D2-2BOU
- D1-1SUN
- D1-1LEE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Hull City
No reported absences.
Brentford
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Hull City
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.18last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.24last 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 10.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.6last 10
Brentford
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.70last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.68last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 13.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Line movement
Hull City—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Brentford—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Brentford result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Home advantage (team-tuned). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-65.5Home advantage (team-tuned)22.1Pi-rating edge-0.18Recent form (home)3.30Defensive xG form (away)1.52Rest-days edge-0.96
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.