Hull City vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Premier LeagueRound 13
Hull City21:00
Wed 2 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Nottingham ForestMost likelyNottingham Forest win · 41%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Nottingham Forest win
Oddbert gives Nottingham Forest a 41% chance of winning.
33%Hull City
26%Draw
41%Nottingham Forest
In 100 matches like this, Nottingham Forest would win about 41. In the other 59 or so, Nottingham Forest doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Hull City win 33, Draw 26, Nottingham Forest win 41.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
33%1Hull CityHull City win
26%XDrawDraw
41%2Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Hull City meet Nottingham Forest. The model leans only slightly toward Nottingham Forest in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Nottingham Forest (41%), doesn't happen in about 59 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Hull City
- L0-1ARS
- D2-2IPS
- D1-1BRE
- L0-1FUL
- D2-2EVE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Nottingham Forest
- W3-1MC
- L0-2BRE
- D1-1IPS
- L0-1ARS
- L1-3CP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Hull City
Absence data is not available for this match.
Nottingham Forest
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Hull City
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.99last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 10
- Shots
- 10.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
- M. Belloumi3G 2A9 apps
- O. McBurnie2G 2A10 apps
- S. Ajayi1G 0A10 apps
Nottingham Forest
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.52last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.08last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.6last 10
- Fouls
- 14.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Key players
- M. Gibbs-White1G 3A9 apps
- L. Delap3G 0A9 apps
- D. Ndoye2G 0A10 apps
Line movement
Hull City—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Nottingham Forest—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Nottingham Forest in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)0.88Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-61.6Attacking xG form (away)1.60What's at stake (away)0.10Expected goals (home)1.06Pi-rating edge-0.22
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.