Inter vs Genoa prediction
Serie ARound 13
Inter18:30
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
GenoaMost likelyInter win · 71%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Inter win
Oddbert gives Inter a 71% chance of winning.
71%Inter
18%Draw
11%Genoa
In 100 matches like this, Inter would win about 71. In the other 29 or so, Inter doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Inter win 71, Draw 18, Genoa win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
71%1InterInter win
18%XDrawDraw
11%2GenoaGenoa win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 11 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Inter meet Genoa. The model leans toward Inter, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Inter (71%), doesn't happen in about 29 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Inter
- W2-0COM
- W3-0FEY
- L1-3AM
- W2-0VEN
- W2-1FIO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Genoa
- L1-2AM
- W2-1LEC
- W2-0JUV
- W1-0VEN
- L0-2AR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Inter
Absence data is not available for this match.
Genoa
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Inter 3Draws 1Genoa 0
- INT 2-0 GEN
- GEN 1-2 INT
- INT 1-0 GEN
- GEN 2-2 INT
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Inter
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.40last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.16last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.2last 10
- Shots
- 18.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.7last 10
- Fouls
- 10.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- M. Thuram4G 1A10 apps
- L. Martinez4G 0A3 apps
- P. Zieliński2G 1A9 apps
Genoa
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.96last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- M. Osmajić4G 1A10 apps
- M. Ellertsson2G 1A10 apps
- Junior Messias2G 1A10 apps
Line movement
Inter—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Genoa—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Inter, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge1.40Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)375Attacking xG form (home)2.03League id135Home form (home)10.9Defensive xG form (home)0.69
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.