Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction
Premier LeagueRound 10
Ipswich15:00
Sun 8 Nov
Prediction T-24h
BournemouthMost likelyIpswich win · 38%
Prediction
39%1Ipswich
28%XDraw
33%2Bournemouth
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Ipswich
- W2-1FUL
- L0-1EVE
- W3-2CP
- L0-2LIV
- L2-5MU
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bournemouth
- L1-5CHE
- L0-1LIV
- D2-2BRE
- D2-2NEW
- D1-1EVE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Ipswich
No reported absences.
Bournemouth
No reported absences.
Head to head
Ipswich 1Draws 0Bournemouth 1
- BOU 1-2 IPS
- IPS 1-2 BOU
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Ipswich
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.41last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.2last 10
- Fouls
- 11.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Bournemouth
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.35last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 13.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Line movement
Ipswich—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bournemouth—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Ipswich result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Fixture congestion (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (home)2.00Fixture congestion (home)0.00Away form (away)4.45Pi-rating edge-0.11Defensive xG form (away)1.17Attacking xG form (away)1.52
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.