Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Premier LeagueRound 8
Ipswich21:00
Fri 23 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Nottingham ForestMost likelyNottingham Forest win · 36%
Best price2.51 Onexbet
Prediction
36%1Ipswichmarket 33%
28%XDrawmarket 27%
36%2Nottingham Forestmarket 40%
Ipswich+3.1 ppDraw+0.0 ppNottingham Forest-3.2 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Ipswichpays 6% more than the typical book | Drawpays 7% more than the typical book | Nottingham Forestpays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Betvictor | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.44 |
| Onexbet | 2.96best | 3.60best | 2.51best |
| Pinnacle | 2.85 | 3.55 | 2.40 |
| Sbo | 2.60 | 3.14 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Nottingham Forest at 2.51 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Ipswich
- W2-1FUL
- L0-1EVE
- W3-2CP
- L0-2LIV
- L2-5MU
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Nottingham Forest
- L1-3CP
- L0-1COV
- W2-1AV
- D0-0TOT
- D2-2LIV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Ipswich
No reported absences.
Nottingham Forest
No reported absences.
Head to head
Ipswich 0Draws 0Nottingham Forest 2
- IPS 2-4 NF
- NF 1-0 IPS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Ipswich
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.41last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.2last 10
- Fouls
- 11.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Nottingham Forest
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.70last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.63last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 15.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Line movement
Ipswich—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Nottingham Forest—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Nottingham Forest result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (home) and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (home)2.00Defensive xG form (away)1.34Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)28.5What's at stake (home)0.13Home form (home)7.60Attacking xG form (away)1.92
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.