Israel vs Austria prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League B - 6
Israel20:45
Tue 17 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
AustriaMost likelyAustria win · 59%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Austria win
Oddbert gives Austria a 59% chance of winning.
20%Israel
21%Draw
59%Austria
In 100 matches like this, Austria would win about 59. In the other 41 or so, Austria doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Israel win 20, Draw 21, Austria win 59.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
20%1IsraelIsrael winmarket 21%
21%XDrawDrawmarket 21%
59%2AustriaAustria winmarket 58%
Our model vs market
Israel -0.4 ppDraw -0.0 ppAustria +0.5 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 book's price) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Austria (59%), doesn't happen in about 41 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Israel
- D1-1ROI
- D0-0KOS
- L0-3ROI
- L1-3AUS
- W1-0ALB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Austria
- D1-1KOS
- D2-2ROI
- W3-1KOS
- W3-1ISR
- L0-3SPA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Israel
Absence data is not available for this match.
Austria
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Israel 2Draws 0Austria 3
- AUS 3-1 ISR
- AUS 4-2 ISR
- ISR 5-2 AUS
- AUS 3-1 ISR
- ISR 4-2 AUS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Israel
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- R. Revivo1G 0A7 apps
- E. Peretz1G 0A8 apps
- Oscar Gloukh1G 0A8 apps
Austria
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Key players
- M. Sabitzer3G 0A6 apps
- R. Schmid2G 1A10 apps
- S. Kalajdzic2G 1A9 apps
Line movement
Israel—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Austria—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Austria result here; the model's main factor is International Elo (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (away)1756
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.