Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 3
Jagiellonia21:00
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
AnderlechtMost likelyJagiellonia win · 47%
Prediction
47%1Jagiellonia
29%XDraw
24%2Anderlecht
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Jagiellonia
- L1-2OP
- W2-1FI1
- W4-0FI1
- D1-1RAN
- W2-1RAN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Anderlecht
- L1-2LYO
- W3-0KA
- W3-0KA
- W3-2PAO
- W1-0PAO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Jagiellonia
No reported absences.
Anderlecht
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Jagiellonia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.04last 6
- xG against / game
- 1.60last 6
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 9
- Shots
- 11.4last 7
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 9
- Fouls
- 15.7last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 9
Anderlecht
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 1
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 1
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.1last 7
- Shots
- 17.0last 4
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 7
- Fouls
- 17.3last 7
- Yellow cards
- 2.6last 8
Line movement
Jagiellonia—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Anderlecht—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Jagiellonia result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Fixture congestion (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.97Fixture congestion (home)0.00Defensive xG form (away)0.60What's at stake (away)0.31League id3.00What's at stake (home)0.19
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.