Juventus vs Venezia prediction
Serie ARound 12
Juventus20:45
Mon 23 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
VeneziaMost likelyJuventus win · 71%
Best price1.40 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Juventus win
Oddbert gives Juventus a 71% chance of winning.
71%Juventus
18%Draw
11%Venezia
In 100 matches like this, Juventus would win about 71. In the other 29 or so, Juventus doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Juventus win 71, Draw 18, Venezia win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
71%1JuventusJuventus winmarket 73%
18%XDrawDrawmarket 17%
11%2VeneziaVenezia winmarket 10%
Our model vs market
Juventus -1.9 ppDraw +1.1 ppVenezia +0.9 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 7 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Juventus meet Venezia. The model leans toward Juventus, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Juventuspays 5% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | Veneziapays 6% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.40best | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 5.20best | 8.50best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Juventus at 1.40 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for Juventus (71%), doesn't happen in about 29 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Juventus
- D2-2FIO
- W2-1AA
- W2-0NAP
- L0-2GEN
- W2-0LEC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Venezia
- W2-1UDI
- L0-1COM
- L0-2INT
- L0-1GEN
- W1-0NAP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Juventus
Absence data is not available for this match.
Venezia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Juventus 1Draws 1Venezia 0
- VEN 2-3 JUV
- JUV 2-2 VEN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Juventus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.40last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.12last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.1last 10
- Shots
- 15.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.5last 10
Key players
- R. Kolo Muani3G 2A10 apps
- N. Woltemade3G 2A10 apps
- Douglas Luiz1G 2A10 apps
Venezia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.83last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 13.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- A. Hainaut2G 2A10 apps
- A. Adams2G 0A10 apps
- R. Sagrado1G 1A5 apps
Line movement
Juventus—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Venezia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Juventus, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge1.28Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)366Expected goals (home)1.80Expected goals (away)0.57Defensive xG form (away)1.52Attacking xG form (away)1.19
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.